Pasar al contenido principal

page search

Biblioteca Modelling the likely impact of healthy eating guidelines on agriculture in England and Wales

Modelling the likely impact of healthy eating guidelines on agriculture in England and Wales

Modelling the likely impact of healthy eating guidelines on agriculture in England and Wales

Resource information

Date of publication
Diciembre 2008
Resource Language
ISBN / Resource ID
AGRIS:US2016206515

Household food consumption data is used to estimate likely changes in diet under healthy eating guidelines, and the consequences this would have on the agricultural sector in England and Wales. The first step entails imposing nutrient restrictions on food consumption following dietary recommendations. The resulting diet is then used as a proxy for demand in agricultural commodities, to test the impact of such a scenario on agricultural land use and production.Results of the diet optimisation indicate a severe drop in foods rich in saturated fats and sugar, essentially cheese and sugar-based products, along with lesser cuts in fat and meat products Conversely, consumption of fruit & vegetables, cereals, and flour would increase to meet dietary fibre recommendations. Such a shift in demand would dramatically affect production patterns: the margin of England and Wales agriculture would rise, due to increased production of high market value and high margin crops. Some regions would however be negatively affected, mostly those regions dependent on beef and sheep production that could not benefit from an increased demand for cereals. The effects of these changes would also be felt in upstream industries such as feed suppliers.

Share on RLBI navigator
NO

Authors and Publishers

Author(s), editor(s), contributor(s)

Arnoult, Matthieu H.
Jones, Philip J.
Tranter, Richard B.
Tiffin, J. Richard
Traill, W. Bruce

Data Provider