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Many amphibian populations are declining, and increased understanding of the drivers of amphibian presence and abundance will help in their conservation. In 2005 and 2006 we estimated relative abundance of larvae of two common amphibian taxa, Tiger Salamanders (Ambystoma tigrinum) and ranid tadpoles (Northern Leopard Frog Lithobates pipiens and Wood Frog Lithobates sylvaticus), in 75 shallow lakes in prairie and parkland areas in Minnesota. We used a two-step procedure in which we first modeled presence-absence with data from all lakes and then modeled abundance only in lakes where the amphibian taxa were present. For the two amphibian taxa, a generalized linear mixed effects model was used to examine the effects of dynamic factors like fish abundance and static (timeframe of study) variables like fish community type, depth, and adjacent land cover. Fish variables had the greatest influence but differed for the presence and abundance models. Salamander and tadpole presence was inversely correlated to the abundance of benthivorous fish, while salamander abundance was best explained by total fish abundance and tadpole abundance by fish community type. We did not detect influences of land cover types on the amphibian taxa we surveyed. Our findings are important because they complement previous studies documenting that negative correlations with fish extend beyond piscivores to include both planktivores and benthivores. Hydrological changes in our study landscape (e.g., installation of drainage networks, wetland consolidation) associated with agriculture and other land uses have likely increased the distribution and abundance of fish populations, thus dampening amphibian breeding success.
